Vietnam Logistics 2025 – A Phase of Strong Transformation
Opportunities & Growth Drivers: Nearly 42% of logistics firms expect more positive business prospects in 2025, thanks to administrative reforms, trade policies, and heavy infrastructure investment. Strategic seaports (Lach Huyen, Cai Mep – Thi Vai) are being upgraded; expressway network to reach ~3,000 km by end-2025 (up from 2,021 km in 2024). Long Thanh International Airport Phase 1 expected to open early 2026; high-speed Hanoi–HCMC railway under development.
Smart & Digital Logistics: Strong adoption of AI, IoT, automation, blockchain, and WMS. Smart logistics market estimated at USD 65B in 2024, forecast to grow 15–20% in 2025.
Long-term Ambitions (2025–2035, vision 2045): GDP contribution 5–7%, growth 12–15%/year, outsourcing rate 70–80%, logistics costs down to 12–15% GDP, aiming for top 40 in World Bank’s LPI ranking.
Challenges: Logistics costs still high (~16.8% GDP vs 9–12% global avg). New transport rules (driver breaks & higher fines) disrupt ~80% firms. Infrastructure gaps in remote regions. Shortage of digitally skilled workforce (~2M needed by 2030). Trade policy uncertainties (US tariffs, origin rules). New cross-border road routes (e.g. Chongqing–Hai Duong) and $8.3B Vietnam–China railway plan may reshape flows but face execution risks.
